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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Aurelius7 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (238–188, n=426) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | -$2.9K | $3.3M | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (3 of 9 open) | 63% (168 of 265 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (132 of 214 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 399 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 61% (won 83% of 245) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 96% of 26) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
49 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $8.0K | — | Over $462 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $343 | — | Central Michigan $6.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | — | No $2.6K |
| Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $194 | — | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Wizards $1.6K | — | Hawks $690 |
| Spread: Knicks (-28.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Bulls $1.2K | — | Knicks $149 |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | — | Yes $9 |
| Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.1K | — | No $124 |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $928 | — | Over $153 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Spread: Knicks (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $977 | — | Bulls $64 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | — | No $529 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $713 | — | Over $268 |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $663 | — | Over $3 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Cavaliers $304 | — | Thunder $308 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Grizzlies $246 | — | Pacers $190 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $284 | — | Grizzlies $118 |
| Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $350 | — | Under $41 |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | Hawks $271 | — | Wizards $69 |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Lakers $27 | — | Kings $253 |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $230 | — | Under $6 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Suns $124 | — | Trail Blazers $98 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $123 | — | Over $86 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Jazz $20 | — | Pelicans $154 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado | — | Juan Carlos Prado $1.5K | — | Juan Carlos Prado $15K |
| Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.9K | — | No $498 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $4.9K | — | 76ers $240 |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $3.4K | — | No $533 |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $873 | — | Over $1.0K |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) same side · consensus Ball State | UMass $386 | — | — | UMass $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | — | Over $1.5K |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | — | Under $382 |
| Spread: Knicks (-12.5) same side · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $1.0K | — | Knicks $356 |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $42 | — | No $1.3K |
| Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5) same side · consensus CA Mineiro | — | CA Mineiro $1.2K | — | CA Mineiro $65 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Under $75 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $101 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Will Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $406 | — | No $742 |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $703 | — | Under $364 |
| Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $898 | — | Over $75 |
| Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5) same side · consensus CA Mineiro | — | CA Mineiro $903 | — | CA Mineiro $9 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Pelicans $732 | — | Pelicans $130 |
| Will Puntarenas FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $814 | — | No $6 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $642 | — | Under $140 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $720 | — | Under $20 |
| Spread: Wizards (-1.5) same side · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $429 | — | Hawks $288 |
| Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $364 | — | Under $310 |