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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402FlaznorpRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)61% (196–125, n=321)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$213K$1.4M$14.9M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #391PM monthly #14PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus73% (27 of 37 open)64% (100 of 157 open)48% (19 of 40 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −1 pts, n=134NFL −24 pts, n=12—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won54% of 356 at avg 52¢, ROI +2%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 16% of 83)30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 40% of 84)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 56% of 90)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 96% of 99)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402FlaznorpRN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12KOver $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
—Tom Gentzsch $3.7KMax Houkes $1.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $169Cavaliers $708—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $183Lakers $210—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256No $12—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.4K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
—Billy Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
—Max Dahlin $333Max Dahlin $495—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $166Lakers $461—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $197Lakers $248—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $155Lakers $282—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $170Cavaliers $111—
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Raptors $162Raptors $116—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $51Over $29—