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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xC84e712F3C47A7532BE17f758fE6Bd45695cA5D2-1779887461766FlaznorpHomeRunHazardVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2825–1180, n=4005)52% (590–548, n=1138)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$0$529K$400K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #985PM monthly #8PM monthly #10PM monthly #57
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (128 of 239 open)68% (68 of 100 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=204——
Settled positions, side won—41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 531)2% (won 100% of 6)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 38% of 315)32% (won 100% of 100)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 61% of 150)60% (won 100% of 189)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 94% of 320)7% (won 100% of 22)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xC84e712F3C47A7532BE17f758fE6Bd45695cA5D2-1779887461766FlaznorpHomeRunHazardVirIntrepidus
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $1549ers $8.4KCowboys $275
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303Vikings $6.7KVikings $6.5K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Patriots $7.0KLions $34K
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $3.3KSaints $26K—
Patriots vs. Lions
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Patriots $11KLions $17K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $1.1KTitans $8.3K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $165—Chiefs $6.3K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $31Under $4.1K—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $75Mavericks $200—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $620Seahawks $20K—
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $7.9KVikings $8.3K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $2.3KCowboys $5.7K
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $159Mavericks $5.8K—
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $170Pacers $4.2K—
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lions
——Lions $32Lions $4.0K
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $9Suns $3.7K—
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Rockets $356Rockets $2.4K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $2.0K—
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-3.5)
same side · consensus Iowa Hawkeyes
—Creighton Bluejays $97Creighton Bluejays $300—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $182Spurs $182—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $41Under $246—