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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksHomeRunHazardrobustmstSineNooneEI
Record (consensus markets)64% (60–34, n=94)54% (304–264, n=568)42% (13–18, n=31)54% (7–6, n=13)
Consensus PnL$1.2K$309K$208K$220K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #945PM monthly #7PM monthly #28PM monthly #71
Sides with the consensus65% (17 of 26 open)77% (50 of 65 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 87 at avg 53¢, ROI +43%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50%100% of 4 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 1)0%0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 100% of 31)32% (won 100% of 31)85% (won 100% of 11)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢56% (won 100% of 49)57% (won 100% of 55)15% (won 100% of 2)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 6)10% (won 100% of 10)0%0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksHomeRunHazardrobustmstSineNooneEI
Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $105Under $5.5K——
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $63Under $4.3K——
James Madison vs. UConn: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $49Over $4.0K——
Spread: Washington State (-8.5)
same side · consensus Washington State
Washington State $47Washington State $3.9K——
Spread: Ole Miss (-1.5)
same side · consensus Oklahoma
Oklahoma $99Oklahoma $3.7K——
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $21Commanders $2.5K——
Memphis vs. South Florida: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $64Over $2.5K——
Spread: Washington (-5.5)
same side · consensus Michigan State
Michigan State $49Michigan State $1.8K——
Spread: Clemson (-14.5)
same side · consensus Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech $7Georgia Tech $1.8K——
Spread: East Carolina (-10.5)
same side · consensus East Carolina
East Carolina $37East Carolina $1.4K——
Spread: Utah State (-3.5)
same side · consensus San Diego State
San Diego State $34San Diego State $1.3K——
Avalanche vs. Senators
same side · consensus Avalanche
Senators $16Senators $1.3K——
Illinois vs. UCLA
same side · consensus UCLA
UCLA $26UCLA $1.0K——
Spread: Wyoming (-10.5)
same side · consensus UTEP
UTEP $26UTEP $980——
Spread: Pittsburgh (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh $25Pittsburgh $970——
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kraken
Kraken $11Kraken $845——
Wake Forest vs. SMU
same side · consensus SMU
SMU $13SMU $527——
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Wild
Maple Leafs $6Maple Leafs $482——
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv
same side · consensus Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv $6Maccabi Tel Aviv $272——
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M
same side · consensus Texas A&M
Texas A&M $6Texas A&M $226——
Northwestern vs. Ohio State: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5Over $219——