Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6Ccbd48BC12227b952b22f76405dF86De10Ca4BE-1779887420415Flaznorpnigiri99Zzzz87
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2084–849, n=2933)55% (392–321, n=713)67% (85–41, n=126)
Consensus PnL$0$384K$426K$305K
Tracked asPM monthly #989PM monthly #13PM monthly #103was PM monthly #666
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (92 of 171 open)44% (30 of 68 open)50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +14 pts n=284, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +18 pts n=63, ROI +28%
  • NBA +31 pts n=47, ROI +29%
  • Esports +42 pts n=13, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=20, ROI +23%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 362)14% (won 37% of 79)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 43% of 192)24% (won 59% of 138)15% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 103)43% (won 72% of 243)37% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 95% of 239)19% (won 98% of 107)46% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6Ccbd48BC12227b952b22f76405dF86De10Ca4BE-1779887420415Flaznorpnigiri99Zzzz87
Will Brazil win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $6.1K—Yes $12K
Japan vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.9K—Over $12K
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $5.9KYes $364—
Japan vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $537—Over $4.8K
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.6KYes $1.3K—
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $886Yes $374—
Will China PR win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $890—Yes $239
Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-11-13?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $43—Yes $189
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $108Under $76—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $110Over $11—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Cavaliers
——Mavericks $88Mavericks $5.9K
Japan vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.6K—Over $1.1K
Will Japan win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $362—Yes $538
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $5Georgia State $512—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $388Heat $46—
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus 1win
—1win $4—1win $163
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $3—
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Denmark?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $7Yes $3—