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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6BE68b475d7B0f0382912C59A669B6C3E29339A0-1779887477443HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (590–548, n=1138)47% (670–741, n=1411)
Consensus PnL$0$400K$885K
Tracked asPM monthly #995PM monthly #9PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (63 of 90 open)63% (45 of 72 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 6)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 100)34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 189)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 22)9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6BE68b475d7B0f0382912C59A669B6C3E29339A0-1779887477443HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Jaguars vs. Titans
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $24KTitans $12K
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $6.7KPackers $15K
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $6.2K
Spread: Bills (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Bills $6.3KJets $212
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KOver $3.4K
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $183Jazz $4.8K
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.8KUnder $1.7K
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $265Clippers $2.3K
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—76ers $19Pacers $120
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $20KSeahawks $19K
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
same side · consensus Oregon Ducks
—Oregon Ducks $7.7KOregon Ducks $20K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lions
—Patriots $6.1KPatriots $19K
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.4KUnder $22K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $7.9KVikings $14K
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $2.5KBrowns $19K
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $412Under $11K
Rams vs. Cardinals
same side · consensus Rams
—Rams $5.4KRams $4.9K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $2.3KCowboys $3.3K
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Mavericks $2.4KMavericks $533
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nebraska Cornhuskers
—Nebraska Cornhuskers $1.7KNebraska Cornhuskers $1.1K
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $1.9KSuns $809