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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c4ddD52a101E05151153b712D75b7eF2b7C0486-1775042514466BreakTheBankprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (12–8, n=20)62% (13–8, n=21)68% (360–171, n=531)
Consensus PnL—$779K-$16K-$115K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #882PM monthly #1PM monthly #66PM monthly #43 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (11 of 21 open)57% (12 of 21 open)63% (96 of 152 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)9% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)27% (won 100% of 3)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)64% (won 100% of 7)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)0%33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c4ddD52a101E05151153b712D75b7eF2b7C0486-1775042514466BreakTheBankprimmRN1
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $28K—76ers $873
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Clippers $19K—Suns $492
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $13KUnder $1.1K
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $9.3KOver $3.4K
Clippers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Clippers $298—Suns $9.1K
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Clippers $6.5K—Suns $431
Spread: Bowling Green (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green
——Kent State $1.7KBowling Green $3.4K
Spread: Ohio (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (OH)
——Ohio $3.3KMiami (OH) $8
Spread: Bowling Green (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kent State
——Kent State $501Bowling Green $2.4K
Spread: Ohio (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ohio
——Ohio $1.6KMiami (OH) $1.1K
Spread: Bowling Green (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green
——Kent State $2.0KBowling Green $693
Spread: Ohio (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (OH)
——Ohio $1.6KMiami (OH) $912
Spread: Bowling Green (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green
——Kent State $272Bowling Green $1.3K
Spread: Miami (OH) (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ohio
——Ohio $963Miami (OH) $226
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $744—76ers $351
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $255Under $16
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $243—Magic $3
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $43—Suns $43
Spread: Bowling Green (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bowling Green
——Bowling Green $6.1KBowling Green $1.8K
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Kings $7.2K—Kings $204
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.7KOver $677
Kent State vs. Bowling Green: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $931Over $1.3K
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $11—Celtics $1.4K
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Kings $76—Kings $68