No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #876 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #876
Record (90 d)
21/24 · 88%
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
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Specialties
253 settled consensus markets · held side won 67% at an average entry of 53¢- Crypto
+27 pts
side won 65% of 78 · avg entry 39¢
ROI +17%
- Soccer
+12 pts
side won 80% of 85 · avg entry 68¢
ROI 0%
- Esports
+20 pts
side won 78% of 23 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +11%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 16%(won 27% of 41)
- 30–50¢: 31%(won 62% of 79)
- 50–70¢: 27%(won 75% of 68)
- 70¢ and up: 26%(won 89% of 65)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.