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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465brrrrother444FlaznorpUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3326, n=7862)50% (1–1, n=2)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)50% (20605–20391, n=40996)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$60K$3.6M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #441PM monthly #11PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)no open consensus position76% (210 of 276 open)69% (31 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 1 at avg 48¢, ROI +52%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)0%29% (won 11% of 465)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)100% (won 100% of 1)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)0%16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)0%39% (won 94% of 637)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465brrrrother444FlaznorpUpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9K—No $494No $15K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K—Under $238—
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.8K—No $1.9K—
Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.2K—Under $943—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.2KYes $757
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $596Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $702Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $475Under $64
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $139No $249
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Athletic Club $226
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $133Yes $2
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $143K—Carlos Alcaraz $5.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13KUnder $21K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $3.1K
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12K—Over $830—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.5KNo $5.4K
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $7.6K—Over $65—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $3.1KNo $2.7K
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $3.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.6KNo $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $613Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.0KYes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $334Under $749
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $104Under $960
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.0KOver $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $177Under $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $361Under $595
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $112Yes $52
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
——CD Pamplona $129CD Pamplona $6