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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorphell0piaRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)59% (71–49, n=120)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.5M$116K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #24PM monthly #837PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (11 of 17 open)69% (232 of 337 open)75% (3 of 4 open)64% (34 of 53 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NBA −32 pts, n=10—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%60% of 117 at avg 57¢, ROI +7%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)18% (won 29% of 21)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)12% (won 50% of 14)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)37% (won 63% of 43)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 77% of 39)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorphell0piaRN1
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2KNo $2.5K—No $4.3K
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $25KNo $4.4K—No $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4KUnder $49——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Daniel Milavsky $514—Max Hans Rehberg $834
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
—Greet Minnen $672—Lisa Pigato $142
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $23—Ivan Gakhov $225
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
—Cadence Brace $59—Jo-Yee Chan $36
Villa Maria: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Murkel Dellien
opposite sides · consensus Juan Pablo Ficovich
—Murkel Dellien $34—Juan Pablo Ficovich $37
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $29
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16K—Yes $11K
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25KUnder $1.2K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.2K—Under $8.9K
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
—Nuno Borges $6.0K—Nuno Borges $8.6K
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.6K—Yes $10K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.0K—Under $2.4K
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
same side · consensus GenOne
—GenOne $2—GenOne $5.1K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K——Over $3.0K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Juan Bautista Torres $349—Juan Bautista Torres $4.2K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $106No $921——
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
—Renata Zarazua $342—Renata Zarazua $602
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $714—Under $49
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $33—Over $675
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $138—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $124—Yes $36