← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | RN1 | TMingchan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (52–60, n=112) | 75% (697–230, n=927) | 67% (455–225, n=680) | 45% (9–11, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | -$527K | $59K | -$137K | -$5.7K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #44 + pinned | PM monthly #589 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 62% (57 of 92 open) | 54% (14 of 26 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 8 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 38% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 63% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | RN1 | TMingchan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $307 | Trail Blazers $2.7K | Trail Blazers $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $1.8K | Trail Blazers $5.7K | — | — |
| M15 Maanshan: Maxim Zhukov vs Xirui Han opposite sides · consensus Xirui Han | Maxim Zhukov $6.9K | Xirui Han $72 | — | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $2.5K | Thunder $208 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Thunder $1.4K | Trail Blazers $13 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Thunder $623 | Trail Blazers $710 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $777 | Thunder $10 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $371 | Thunder $5 | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $88 | Under $71 | — |
| W75 Brisbane: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Emerson Jones opposite sides · consensus Emerson Jones | — | Emerson Jones $10 | Chengyiyi Yuan $61 | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $415K | Trail Blazers $18K | — | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | Thunder $2.1K | Thunder $242 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $1.6K | Trail Blazers $631 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $2.0K | Trail Blazers $15 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $707 | Trail Blazers $178 | — |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A same side · consensus Team Falcons | Team Falcons $812 | Team Falcons $7 | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $39 | Over $138 | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $48 | Under $51 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | Trail Blazers $94 | Trail Blazers $3 | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $29 | Under $46 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-24.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | Trail Blazers $11 | Trail Blazers $1 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-17.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Thunder $5 | Thunder $7 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-19.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Thunder $7 | Thunder $1 | — |