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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpHomeRunHazardZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)47% (64–71, n=135)75% (744–249, n=993)55% (201–167, n=368)66% (49–25, n=74)
Consensus PnL-$420K$74K$227K$399
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #14PM monthly #8PM monthly #775
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)71% (95 of 134 open)72% (55 of 76 open)56% (10 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———NBA −14 pts, n=13
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%82% of 56 at avg 62¢, ROI +15%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)31% (won 9% of 66)1% (won 100% of 1)11% (won 50% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)27% (won 45% of 56)32% (won 100% of 31)23% (won 62% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 68% of 28)57% (won 100% of 55)29% (won 88% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)29% (won 97% of 61)10% (won 100% of 10)38% (won 100% of 21)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpHomeRunHazardZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $3.5KUgo Humbert $2.6K—Ugo Humbert $61
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
Dartmouth Big Green $1.9KDartmouth Big Green $415Dartmouth Big Green $298—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $90Vikings $6Vikings $1.8K—
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $19Bucks $3.4K—
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $217Bucks $1.7K—
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $65Under $1.0K—
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $362Celtics $407—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $120Rockets $83—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $107Under $8—
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Kansas City Roos
same side · consensus Kansas City Roos
—Kansas City Roos $3.2KKansas City Roos $2.1K—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $218Over $4.9K—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $96Over $2.7K—
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $83Under $2.6K—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $90Over $2.3K—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $86Over $2.2K—
Warriors vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $1.5KRockets $850—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $542Seahawks $1.5K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $353Bucks $1.3K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $165Falcons $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $266Pelicans $712—
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $182Cavaliers $766—
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $19Over $430—
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 151.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $207Under $186—
Spread: Kansas City Roos (-8.5)
same side · consensus Kansas City Roos
—Kansas City Roos $115Kansas City Roos $272—
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $212Raptors $19—