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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpGC-Pjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3318, n=7854)52% (6582–6102, n=12684)82% (5638–1270, n=6908)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.6M$148K$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #10PM monthly #587PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus64% (14 of 22 open)77% (102 of 133 open)74% (32 of 43 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 4271 at avg 67¢, ROI +29%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 99% of 259)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 895)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 954)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 2163)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpGC-Pjoseph00677
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $494No $1.8K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KYes $643—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Heat $3.6KWarriors $3.9K——
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $31—
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $50—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $621No $288—
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $553No $335—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $305Under $270—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $163Seahawks $7—
Heat vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $399KWarriors $3.8K——
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2KNo $1.1K—
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5KNo $1.1K—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $337Heat $2.5K——
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.2KUnder $474—
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $241—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $675—
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $186—
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $536No $740—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $1.1K—Warriors $130—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $634Aliaksandra Sasnovich $340—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $565No $376—
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $359No $328—
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $155No $437—
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $185No $221—
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $162Dolphins $128—
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $222Yes $52—