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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRhabarberbarbarbarRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)59% (271–185, n=456)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$74K$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #49was PM monthly #982PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus61% (23 of 38 open)50% (5 of 10 open)57% (87 of 152 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Geopolitics −8 pts, n=10—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%57% of 375 at avg 56¢, ROI +1%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)18% (won 8% of 66)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 421)40% (won 45% of 151)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 508)8% (won 63% of 30)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)34% (won 95% of 128)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmRhabarberbarbarbarRN1S-Works
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $5.7K—Cowboys $4.1K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4K—Under $1.7K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6.8K—Over $1.2K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.3K—Over $1.9K—
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.8K—Over $186—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.5K—Over $64—
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Commanders $144—Rams $3.5K—
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Saints $49—Browns $3.5K—
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
Lions $2.0K—Dolphins $1.6K—
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Saints $958—Browns $1.8K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $111—Cowboys $1.1K—
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Dolphins $267—Lions $744—
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $47K—Lions $2.1K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.5K—Under $5.8K—
Spread: Lions (-5.5)
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $3.2K—Lions $2.5K—
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $183—Eagles $3.0K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Under $1.3K—
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $1.6K—Dolphins $3—
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $745—Commanders $579—
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Saints $16—Saints $677—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $14—