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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1PerpsKingRN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)63% (1096–631, n=1727)43% (3–4, n=7)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.6M-$238K$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #110was PM monthly #928PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (46 of 71 open)72% (71 of 98 open)no open consensus position57% (36 of 63 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 3 at avg 65¢, ROI +36%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)0%22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)100% (won 100% of 3)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)0%33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1PerpsKingRN1
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Texans $68K——Chargers $3.5K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32K——Lakers $38
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $28K——Bucks $116
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Timberwolves $11K——Jazz $116
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Patriots $5.8K——Packers $4.1K
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $8.4K——Over $126
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $2——Texans $7.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $1.7K
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3K——Over $164
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Texans $10——Chargers $19
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $85K——Seahawks $3.8K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $46K——Coco Gauff $42K
Texans vs. Chargers
same side · consensus Texans
Texans $54K——Texans $12K
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
Raiders $7.7K——Raiders $12
Spread: Packers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
Patriots $1.4K——Patriots $3.5K
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $149——Seahawks $4.7K
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
Patriots $3——Patriots $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Nets $943——Nets $144