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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpHBAFlover98primm
Record (consensus markets)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)39% (243–373, n=616)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M-$250K$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #9was PM monthly #838PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus66% (31 of 47 open)66% (73 of 111 open)no open consensus position55% (6 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Esports −9 pts, n=99—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%39% of 550 at avg 39¢, ROI 0%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)30% (won 14% of 164)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 42% of 227)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)21% (won 59% of 118)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)7% (won 71% of 41)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpHBAFlover98primm
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Patriots $13K——Packers $70K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32KLakers $873——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $28KOver $390——
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $22KMavericks $200——
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $20KClippers $7——
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $2.8K——Cardinals $6.1K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $31——Texans $2.0K
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $1.5K——Cardinals $247
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $137——Cardinals $1.6K
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $943Mavericks $314——
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
49ers $44K——49ers $85K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Texans $41K——Texans $9.4K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $26KCoco Gauff $7.1K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $7.9K——Under $1.5K
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5KOver $107——
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $167——
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Heat $138Heat $298——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $113Under $297——