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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)36% (3721–6721, n=10442)52% (6551–6119, n=12670)
Consensus PnL$3.2M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #86PM monthly #13
Sides with the consensus67% (22 of 33 open)69% (262 of 382 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $33KUnder $595
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arsenal FC
Arsenal FC $18KHull City AFC $2.5K
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Yasmine Kabbaj
opposite sides · consensus Anna Blinkova
Yasmine Kabbaj $4.3KAnna Blinkova $14K
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $14KUnder $3.7K
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hull City AFC
Hull City AFC $12KArsenal FC $1.0K
Watford FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $8.8KUnder $546
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $8.7KCasper Ruud $352
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $959Over $4.8K
Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.4KOver $888
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.4KOver $768
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.5KUnder $1.3K
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund $557SV 07 Elversberg $1.6K
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.4KUnder $656
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
BetBoom Team $1.9KMOUZ $123
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $841Under $138
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $162KAlexandra Eala $20K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Francesco Passaro
same side · consensus Nikoloz Basilashvili
Nikoloz Basilashvili $9.9KNikoloz Basilashvili $18K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $44Bianca Andreescu $4.4K
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.8KUnder $57
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
same side · consensus Paris Saint-Germain FC
ES Troyes AC $781ES Troyes AC $1.2K