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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)36% (3741–6739, n=10480)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL$3.2M$3.7M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #87PM monthly #13PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus61% (17 of 28 open)68% (161 of 236 open)75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpprimm
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $33KUnder $578—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $23KUnder $7.0K—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $20KUnder $186—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12KOver $1.2K—
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hull City AFC
Hull City AFC $12KArsenal FC $268—
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Magda Linette $6.5KAnastasia Zakharova $478—
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $5.7KCasper Ruud $333—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.4KUnder $606—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $822Under $138—
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus SV 07 Elversberg
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund $551SV 07 Elversberg $386—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $1.2KMiddle Tennessee $5.1K
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $5.1KUnder $2—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $44Bianca Andreescu $4.3K—
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2.5KOver $10—
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $246Under $2.0K—
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $241Under $214—