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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99TakeMakeSell
Record (consensus markets)55% (12–10, n=22)46% (385–445, n=830)54% (312–261, n=573)97% (34–1, n=35)
Consensus PnL$576K$502K$425K$17K
Tracked asPM monthly #34PM monthly #19PM monthly #135PM monthly #947
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (44 of 66 open)57% (56 of 98 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 11 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%97% of 32 at avg 92¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 17)14% (won 32% of 72)0%
Entries 30–50¢45% (won 100% of 5)38% (won 100% of 105)24% (won 55% of 121)0%
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 4)49% (won 100% of 137)44% (won 69% of 222)9% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 100% of 21)18% (won 98% of 89)91% (won 100% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99TakeMakeSell
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Bianca Andreescu
opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $21KPolona Hercog $55—
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Pacers $20KKnicks $490—
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Bulls $13KHawks $2.4K—
Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $10KOver $674—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $7.6KGrizzlies $200—
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $597—
Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2KUnder $482—
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $256Over $1.0K—
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Knicks $397Pacers $21—
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $12KUnder $411—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $11KOver $148—
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
—Canucks $10KCanucks $508—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.4KOver $1.9K—
Netherlands vs. Greece: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.6KOver $130—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.7KOver $302—
Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.6KOver $528—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $3.4KPelicans $220—
Bulgaria vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $973Under $57—
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $367Over $19—