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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| pIebe | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (715–305, n=1020) | 52% (6565–6142, n=12707) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.1M | $3.7M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #199 + pinned | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #94 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (128 of 163 open) | 68% (207 of 305 open) | 71% (55 of 78 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 944 at avg 70¢, ROI +3% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 6% of 204) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 47% of 55) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 52% of 56) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 96% of 629) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.