← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | pIebe | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 52% (6585–6162, n=12747) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 70% (715–305, n=1020) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $3.7M | $4.8M | $1.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #197 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 71% (184 of 260 open) | 70% (55 of 79 open) | 79% (129 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 71% of 944 at avg 70¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 22% (won 6% of 204) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 6% (won 47% of 55) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 6% (won 52% of 56) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 67% (won 96% of 629) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.