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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dfihdFlaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (1–1, n=2)52% (6551–6119, n=12670)63% (993–578, n=1571)47% (14379–15895, n=30274)
Consensus PnL$42K$3.7M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #569PM monthly #13PM monthly #96PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (266 of 388 open)71% (58 of 82 open)58% (19 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢100% (won 100% of 1)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢0%16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up0%39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketdfihdFlaznorpndb1RN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
—Mika Brunold $59—Borna Gojo $17K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Will FK Termez Surkhon win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3K—No $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $57—Over $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $524
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $15K—Anna Blinkova $19K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $21K—No $11K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Francesco Passaro
same side · consensus Nikoloz Basilashvili
—Nikoloz Basilashvili $18K—Nikoloz Basilashvili $9.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.6K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.4K—Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.4K—No $6.3K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.7K—No $5.4K
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $595Under $6.6K—
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
—Hull City AFC $2.5KHull City AFC $2.9K—
Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $729—No $1.9K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $711—Over $962
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $777—Over $813
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $41