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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| binakl | BreakTheBank | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (44–42, n=86) | 56% (61–47, n=108) | 53% (539–479, n=1018) | 90% (18–2, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $770K | $642K | $530K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #863 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #65 | PM monthly #59 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (15 of 30 open) | 54% (62 of 114 open) | 58% (7 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 12% (won 45% of 89) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 25% (won 71% of 190) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 45% (won 80% of 347) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 18% (won 99% of 142) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | binakl | BreakTheBank | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $1.1M | Packers $6.3K | Vikings $14K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | — | Titans $102K | Jaguars $73K | Titans $198K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $271K | Packers $21K | Vikings $16K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $142K | 49ers $79K | Cowboys $275 |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Pacers $54K | 76ers $4.1K | Pacers $248 |
| Panthers vs. Saints opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $945K | Saints $11 | — |
| Bills vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $122K | Jets $72K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | — | Titans $161K | Jaguars $20K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $84K | 49ers $12K | — |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $12K | Packers $160 | — |
| Pacers vs. 76ers opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Pacers $6.8K | 76ers $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Colts (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Dolphins | — | Colts $398 | Dolphins $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Vikings (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $742 | Packers $24 | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $1.1M | — | Chiefs $8.8K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $94K | Chiefs $21K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $91K | Colts $2.0K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $38K | — | Cowboys $5.9K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) same side · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $3.1K | Cowboys $383 | — |