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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6403–5995, n=12398)50% (15563–15624, n=31187)48% (14153–15617, n=29770)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #11PM monthly #140PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position76% (221 of 291 open)53% (99 of 187 open)56% (66 of 118 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)8% (won 61% of 889)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 87% of 2410)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)38% (won 95% of 4354)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 99% of 3754)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

68 on the same side, 74 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Flaznorpomnibus-076daaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $1.6KOver $1.6K
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.0KYes $46No $1.7K
Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.5KYes $6No $2.0K
Will Montpellier HSC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.9KYes $39Yes $325
Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $714No $1.7KYes $231
Will CA Barracas Central vs. Racing Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.0KNo $14Yes $318
Will FC Viktoria Cologne win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.2KNo $4No $4
Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $16KYes $11KYes $14K
FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.9KUnder $7.0KUnder $2
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.9KUnder $113Under $161
Charlottesville: Maks Kasnikowski vs Andres Andrade
same side · consensus Maks Kasnikowski
—Maks Kasnikowski $365Maks Kasnikowski $41Maks Kasnikowski $341
SK Rapid vs. Wolfsberger AC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $331Under $62Under $37
Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus IF Elfsborg
—IF Elfsborg $4.3KHammarby IF $3.8K—
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $769No $5.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
HUS Agadir vs. RS Berkane: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.7K—Over $1.4K
Will Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.3K—Yes $878
Will Racing Club win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.0K—Yes $96
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $427Yes $4.3K—
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.0KUnder $2.6K—
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $21—
Will FC Vizela win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.4KNo $3—
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $1.6K—
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.6KUnder $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1K—Over $2.4K
Will Cheltenham Town FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $192No $3.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Will Grenoble Foot 38 win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $924No $1.8K—
FC Dordrecht vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $744Under $2.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.7K—No $877
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4KYes $108—
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.2KYes $5—
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $2.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6KYes $16—
Will Bristol Rovers FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $705Yes $848—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Spurs $1.4KKings $110
Will Wisla Krakow win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.0KYes $172—
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Over $43
Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $982—Over $28
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $529
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $726Under $202—
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $300Under $585—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $516Yes $353—
Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $845—Under $1
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $650Yes $157—
US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Annecy: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $48—Over $727
Will FC Metz win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $664—Yes $53