PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Zptml00gringo00RN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)70% (26–11, n=37)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (11887–12697, n=24584)50% (13402–13556, n=26958)
Consensus PnL$22K$3.5M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #131was PM monthly #19PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)no open consensus position52% (55 of 106 open)60% (30 of 50 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won76% of 41 at avg 64¢, ROI +6%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 13% of 8)0%10% (won 56% of 2478)8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 80% of 5)0%22% (won 94% of 5361)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 88% of 8)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8705)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 95% of 20)0%31% (won 100% of 7425)32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketZptml00gringo00RN1omnibus-076daa
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $13KNo $2.4K
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.7KUnder $5.8K
AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $21Over $8.9K
Guayaquil: Daniel Galan vs Mateo Del Pino
opposite sides · consensus Daniel Galan
——Daniel Galan $3.6KMateo Del Pino $158
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.2KUnder $2.5K
Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
opposite sides · consensus Nikoloz Basilashvili
——Nikoloz Basilashvili $2.9KJurij Rodionov $248
Brest: Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka
opposite sides · consensus Hugo Gaston
——Daniil Glinka $3.1KHugo Gaston $36
W75 Toronto: Kayla Cross vs Linea Bajraliu
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Cross
——Kayla Cross $1.5KLinea Bajraliu $8
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $8Under $1.4K
Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $344Yes $493
Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $575Under $44
SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $436Under $180
Will SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $475Yes $11
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $9No $351
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
same side · consensus Natus Vincere
——Natus Vincere $97KNatus Vincere $198K
Degerfors IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5Under $4.8K
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $3.7KYes $37
SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $3.5KOver $6
Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.6KUnder $3
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $590Yes $288
Will Servette FC Chênois Féminin win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $158Yes $74
Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $145Yes $55