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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus | yalibb | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (583–536, n=1119) | 53% (513–456, n=969) | 88% (15–2, n=17) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $404K | $592K | $475K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #58 | PM monthly #683 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (37 of 54 open) | 50% (21 of 42 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% | 100% of 3 at avg 63¢, ROI +16% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 5) | 12% (won 40% of 83) | 33% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 84) | 23% (won 65% of 158) | 0% | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 161) | 44% (won 77% of 300) | 0% | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 20) | 20% (won 99% of 135) | 67% (won 100% of 2) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus | yalibb |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | Vikings $7.9K | Packers $2.4K | Vikings $7.1K | — |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | Patriots $6.1K | Patriots $6.0K | Lions $1.6K | — |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | Oregon Ducks $8.2K | Pepperdine Waves $146K | — | — |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $12K | Under $1.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Vikings $5.9K | Packers $6 | — | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.3K | Under $1.1K | — | — |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.1K | Over $925 | — | — |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | Hawai'i $1.8K | North Dakota State $169 | — | — |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | Lions $32 | Patriots $172 | — | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $8.7K | — | Chiefs $6.1K | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Falcons | Chiefs $2.5K | Chiefs $12K | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $6.7K | — | Vikings $5.8K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | Browns $2.4K | Browns $1.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Jaguars $1.1K | Jaguars $1.3K | — | — |
| Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.4K | Under $495 | — | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $1.1K | Colts $3 | — | — |
| Rockets vs. Wizards same side · consensus Rockets | Rockets $325 | Rockets $74 | — | — |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-8.5) same side · consensus Hawai'i | North Dakota State $108 | North Dakota State $128 | — | — |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-6.5) same side · consensus North Dakota State | North Dakota State $8 | North Dakota State $138 | — | — |