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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | paperclip-maxxer | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (361–305, n=666) | 46% (387–447, n=834) | 100% (3–0, n=3) | 57% (37–28, n=65) |
| Consensus PnL | $444K | $509K | $90K | $440K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #6 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #363 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (126 of 163 open) | 65% (47 of 72 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 4 at avg 70¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 37 at avg 58¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 17) | 0% | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 38% (won 100% of 105) | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 49% (won 100% of 137) | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 43% (won 100% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 8% (won 100% of 21) | 50% (won 100% of 2) | 22% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | paperclip-maxxer | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Knicks $5.1K | Pacers $20K | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $7.4K | Over $11K | — | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Hawks $4.4K | Bulls $13K | — | — |
| Rangers vs. Canucks opposite sides · consensus Rangers | Rangers $2.3K | Canucks $11K | — | — |
| Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $13K | Under $266 | — | — |
| Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $6.6K | Under $5.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Grizzlies $2.4K | Pelicans $7.6K | — | — |
| Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $3.9K | Under $2.8K | — | — |
| Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.5K | Under $3.4K | — | — |
| Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $408 | Under $1.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-8.5) same side · consensus Pacers | Knicks $6 | Knicks $26K | — | — |
| Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $5.1K | Over $4.7K | — | — |
| Florida State vs. Pittsburgh same side · consensus Pittsburgh | Florida State $3.0K | Florida State $2.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | Pelicans $2.1K | Pelicans $3.4K | — | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6 | Over $4.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) same side · consensus Pacers | Knicks $4.1K | Knicks $397 | — | — |
| Anadolu Efes vs. Virtus Bologna same side · consensus Anadolu Efes | Anadolu Efes $3.6K | Anadolu Efes $18 | — | — |
| Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.4K | Over $789 | — | — |
| Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $461 | Yes $10 |