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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRaichuRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)90% (9–1, n=10)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.5M$152K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #48was PM monthly #431PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (177 of 263 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position66% (107 of 163 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%89% of 9 at avg 86¢, ROI +13%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)0%10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)0%22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)0%36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)100% (won 89% of 9)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRaichuRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.1K——No $3.3K
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $7.2K——Over $34
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $2.4K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $2.6K——Ignacio Buse $421
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317——No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
Sarah Van Emst $210——Deborah Chiesa $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $7
Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Gina Feistel
opposite sides · consensus Gina Feistel
Isabella Shinikova $3——Gina Feistel $1.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486——No $529
Buriram United leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $914——Yes $58
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $210——No $663
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi
opposite sides · consensus Lisa Pigato
Lisa Pigato $2——Gaia Maduzzi $312
M25 Valencia: Carles Hernandez vs Marcel Zielinski
opposite sides · consensus Marcel Zielinski
Marcel Zielinski $136——Carles Hernandez $26
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $47——Over $48
Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $25K——Quentin Halys $40K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $39K——Under $45
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme
Jeline Vandromme $6.1K——Jeline Vandromme $11K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6.1K——No $1.5K
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.1K——Under $119
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
same side · consensus Samuele Pieri
Samuele Pieri $2.1K——Samuele Pieri $1.6K
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K——No $625
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Under $520
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5——Over $1.5K
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.3K——Under $54
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42——No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101——Under $1.1K
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $469——Over $604
Taranto: Filippo Romano vs Peter Makk
same side · consensus Peter Makk
Filippo Romano $483——Filippo Romano $343
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $720——Under $20
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $645——Under $56
M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
same side · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht
Leonid Sheyngezikht $140——Leonid Sheyngezikht $384
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
same side · consensus Pavlos Tsitsipas
Pavlos Tsitsipas $457——Pavlos Tsitsipas $11
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
same side · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
Jeremy Gschwendtner $126——Jeremy Gschwendtner $175
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239——Under $46
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $10——Yes $162
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51——Over $28
Exact Score: Buriram United 1 - 0 Kashima Antlers?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $66——Yes $2
W35 Liberec: Lenka Munzarova vs Vittoria Paganetti
same side · consensus Lenka Munzarova
Vittoria Paganetti $8——Vittoria Paganetti $43