← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | patoche99 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) | 50% (19440–19510, n=38950) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $21K | $14.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #21 | was PM monthly #976 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (137 of 220 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (76 of 123 open) | 58% (48 of 83 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 100% of 1 at avg 7¢, ROI +93% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 0% | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
41 on the same side, 46 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | patoche99 | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K | Under $3.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $5 | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 | Under $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 | No $2.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $274 | — | Under $1.7K | Under $82 |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | No $42 | — | No $1.3K | Yes $36 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $720 | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $347 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $10 | — | Yes $162 | No $288 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $51 | — | Over $28 | Under $12 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $101 | — | Under $1.1K | Under $931 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $382 | Under $7.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3.1K | No $3.9K |
| Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 0 Coventry City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $977 | Yes $3.3K |
| Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.4K | Under $2.3K |
| Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.2K | — | No $191 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $301 | — | No $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $2.1K | — | Pelicans $280 | — |
| Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 2 Manchester United FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.0K | Yes $872 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $223 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $58 | No $1.4K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $420 | — | — | Under $762 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $486 | — | No $529 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Nuggets $557 | — | Raptors $275 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Nuggets $623 | — | Raptors $130 | — |
| Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $686 | Under $9 |
| St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3 | No $689 |
| O/U 55.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $457 | Under $146 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $495 | — | — | Yes $1 |
| Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $91 | — | Over $351 | — |
| Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $141 | — | Over $297 | — |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $245 | — | Under $169 | — |
| Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $386 | — | Over $18 | — |
| FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $390 | Yes $3 |
| Exact Score: Valencia CF 0 - 3 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $18 | Yes $310 |
| Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus CD Santa Clara | — | — | CD Santa Clara $244 | Rio Ave FC $81 |
| Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $13 | Under $240 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $90 | No $139 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Trail Blazers $214 | — | Suns $6 | — |
| Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 0 Coventry City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $30 | No $157 |
| OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $133 | No $20 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Suns $31 | — | Trail Blazers $99 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $111 | — | — | Yes $3 |
| Will Cesena FC vs. Mantova 1911 end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $28 | Yes $43 |
| Will Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $12 | — | No $6 | — |
| Will Virtus Entella vs. L.R. Vicenza end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $10 | Yes $5 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $1.0K | — | — | No $16K |
| Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 1 Coventry City FC? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.8K | No $10K |
| Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $5.6K | No $310 |