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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1uprightuser
Record (consensus markets)52% (6551–6119, n=12670)63% (993–578, n=1571)47% (14379–15895, n=30274)80% (233–60, n=293)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$4.8M$14.8M-$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #96PM monthly #27 + pinnedwas PM monthly #529
Sides with the consensus68% (265 of 387 open)71% (58 of 82 open)58% (19 of 33 open)100% (43 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −8 pts, n=147—Geopolitics −2 pts, n=70
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%55% of 306 at avg 54¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2588)36% (won 3% of 110)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5673)6% (won 24% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9163)8% (won 73% of 26)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8536)50% (won 93% of 153)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1uprightuser
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
Mika Brunold $86—Borna Gojo $17K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K—
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $57—Over $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $524—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $21K—No $11K—
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $14K—Anna Blinkova $17K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Francesco Passaro
same side · consensus Nikoloz Basilashvili
Nikoloz Basilashvili $18K—Nikoloz Basilashvili $9.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.6K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.4K—Bianca Andreescu $8.3K—
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $6.4K—No $6.3K—
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.7K—No $5.4K—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $595Under $6.6K——
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
Hull City AFC $2.5KHull City AFC $2.9K——
Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $734—No $1.9K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $711—Over $962—
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $775—Over $813—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $41—