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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)71% (2024–808, n=2832)48% (483–517, n=1000)55% (372–304, n=676)33% (1–2, n=3)
Consensus PnL$386K$455K$436K-$5.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #21PM monthly #89PM monthly #463
Sides with the consensus65% (97 of 150 open)60% (9 of 15 open)51% (37 of 73 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
not computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)6% (won 100% of 19)14% (won 33% of 73)—
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)37% (won 100% of 110)24% (won 56% of 125)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)50% (won 100% of 150)43% (won 69% of 226)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 22)18% (won 98% of 96)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99VirIntrepidus
Albirex Niigata vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5KUnder $3.8K——
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $3.6KHouston $547—
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $871Houston $3.0K—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.4KUnder $202—
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
Georgia State $6—Georgia Southern $2.7K—
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.7K—Yes $364—
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $442—Yes $1.3K—
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $915—Yes $365—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $93Nuggets $630
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $117—Under $73—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $80—Over $11—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.1KMertens/Zhang $9.3K——
Spread: Houston (-9.5)
same side · consensus Colorado
—Houston $31Houston $4.4K—
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Colorado
Colorado $50—Colorado $2.5K—
W50 Yokohama: Chia Yi Tsao vs Kyoka Okamura
same side · consensus Kyoka Okamura
Kyoka Okamura $1.0KKyoka Okamura $307——
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $383—Heat $46—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $15Over $237——
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49—Colts $3—