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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1SilentShark
Record (consensus markets)52% (6585–6162, n=12747)48% (14355–15860, n=30215)60% (135–90, n=225)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$14.8M$26K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #27 + pinnedPM monthly #842
Sides with the consensus70% (179 of 256 open)52% (24 of 46 open)33% (2 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2588)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5673)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9163)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8536)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1SilentShark
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613Over $3.3KUnder $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272No $11Yes $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $541No $5.4K—
Avispa Fukuoka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.6KOver $602—
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4KYes $12—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1KYes $7—
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1K—Woking FC $675
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475Under $1.3K—
FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.5KUnder $83—
Nantong Zhiyun vs. Foshan Nanshi FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.0KUnder $298—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471No $524—
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $589Yes $2—
FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $32KUnder $11K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu
same side · consensus Claire Liu
Claire Liu $23KClaire Liu $18K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14KNo $2.6K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.3KBianca Andreescu $8.3K—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $6.4KNo $5.6K—
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $3.4KNo $1.3K—
Will Ningbo Professional FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $2.8KNo $1.2K—
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.3KUnder $43—
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Yosuke Watanuki
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
Yosuke Watanuki $718Yosuke Watanuki $2.3K—
Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $931No $1.4K—
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1KNo $21—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $104Under $1.1K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $4
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $505Under $418—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177Under $41—
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $62Under $40—