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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRN1SilentShark
Record (consensus markets)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)47% (14382–15903, n=30285)60% (135–90, n=225)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$3.6M$14.8M$26K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #47PM monthly #27 + pinnedPM monthly #841
Sides with the consensus70% (261 of 372 open)75% (3 of 4 open)53% (19 of 36 open)33% (2 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5673)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9163)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRN1SilentShark
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3KUnder $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11Yes $9
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Mika Brunold
Mika Brunold $3.3K—Borna Gojo $19K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.2K—Yes $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6—
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.1K—Yes $899—
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1K——Woking FC $690
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego $1.1K—Olle Wallin $64—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $524—
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $291—No $431—
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $20K—Anna Blinkova $28K—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $21K—No $11K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.6K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.4K—Bianca Andreescu $8.3K—
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $6.4K—No $6.2K—
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.7K—No $5.4K—
Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K—No $1.6K—
M25 Heraklion: Ioannis Xilas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
same side · consensus Ioannis Xilas
Ioannis Xilas $1.2K—Ioannis Xilas $1.7K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $4
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $41—