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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | MD14 | Ndjdnrru33 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2531–1028, n=3559) | 81% (22–5, n=27) | no settled market | 55% (433–356, n=789) |
| Consensus PnL | $501K | $328K | $0 | $365K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #118 | PM monthly #783 | PM monthly #137 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (84 of 175 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 57% (105 of 184 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | — | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | — | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | — | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | — | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | — | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | MD14 | Ndjdnrru33 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $310 | — | — | Nets $21K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $1.5K | — | — | Nets $18K |
| Will United States win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $32 | — | — | Yes $7.3K |
| Haiti vs. United States: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2 | — | — | Over $4.5K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $1.9K | — | — | Nuggets $105 |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $1.7K | — | — | Mavericks $145 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $16 | — | — | Under $1.4K |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | Ole Miss $260 | — | — | Oklahoma $507 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $94 | — | — | Timberwolves $545 |
| Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | Providence Friars $132 | — | — | Colorado Buffaloes $492 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2 | — | — | Nets $579 |
| Florida vs. Kentucky same side · consensus Kentucky | Florida $3.1K | — | — | Florida $7.2K |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | Heat $431 | — | — | Heat $9.8K |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus Arkansas | Arkansas $637 | — | — | Arkansas $12 |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | Texas Tech $374 | — | — | Texas Tech $177 |
| Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D same side · consensus Froglings | 1win $10 | — | — | 1win $107 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | — | — | Colts $3 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14? same side · consensus No | Yes $3 | — | — | Yes $34 |