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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpKARIZMATIKUndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)51% (646–624, n=1270)63% (990–573, n=1563)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$614$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #796PM monthly #105PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (276 of 390 open)25% (1 of 4 open)74% (82 of 111 open)58% (78 of 134 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Crypto +45 pts n=632, ROI +44%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%98% of 634 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)1% (won 78% of 9)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)26% (won 97% of 163)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)70% (won 98% of 443)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)3% (won 100% of 19)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

63 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpKARIZMATIKUndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K——Over $1.7K
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.9K——Yes $66
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Daniel Milavsky $258——Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.9K——Over $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe
opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe
Whitney Osuigwe $2.1K——Lavinia Tanasie $5
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.0K——Under $10
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $1.3K——Renata Zarazua $482
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $327——No $585
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
Greet Minnen $686——Lisa Pigato $48
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $680——Yes $42
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $469——Yes $125
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $29——Yes $541
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $11——Over $502
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $230——Under $103
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $248——Under $27
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
Julio Cesar Porras $23——Ivan Gakhov $225
W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Sofia Johnson
Jessica Hinojosa Gomez $25——Sofia Johnson $213
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
Cadence Brace $60——Jo-Yee Chan $36
FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $67——Under $4
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $33——Over $13
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $29
Exact Score: Lillestrøm SK 0 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $13——Yes $4
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 0 - 0 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11——Yes $4
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $30K——Under $2.0K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16K——Yes $11K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $21K——No $1.5K
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $16K——Under $4.2K
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.7K——Yes $15K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7.5K——Under $8.9K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $6.8K——No $8.3K
Spread: NEC (-1.5)
same side · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías
AS Omónoia Leukosías $13K——AS Omónoia Leukosías $3
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $10K——Under $128
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $9.8K——No $315
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $8.5K——No $1.2K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $8.6K——Under $439
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
Ferencvárosi TC $5.9K——Ferencvárosi TC $1.9K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.0K——Under $2.4K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.6K——Over $3.0K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6.5K——Under $24
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.1K——Under $198
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
same side · consensus GenOne
GenOne $2——GenOne $5.0K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.9K——No $2.2K