Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Over 38%
1 arb excluded
$5.7K
$350.58
Smart Money Signal
6 of 15 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Overavg 96.1¢ | $3.2K | $3.1K | -$41.86 | 53% 61382-53692 (115074) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 96.5¢ | $1.8K | $1.9K | +$66.88 | 50% 28444-28347 (56791) |
VE VenusianCTR | Underavg 10.2¢ | $509.83 | — | $-1.5K | 51% 1390-1358 (2748) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Underavg 5.1¢ | $229.84 | — | -$229.84 | 52% 1386-1304 (2690) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Underavg 7.5¢ | $321.75 | — | -$321.75 | 50% 1336-1316 (2652) |
PU purplegattoARB<$100 | Overavg 96.9¢ | $281.69 | $244 | -$45.23 | 49% 6296-6455 (12751) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 96.9¢ | $236.37 | $244 | +$0.09 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 3.6¢ | $45.32 | — | -$45.32 | |
SN SnakeBall | Overavg 81.6¢ | $189.99 | $232.53 | +$42.55 | 51% 37678-36903 (74581) |
TO topdogbigboi | Overavg 85.8¢ | $173.39 | $200 | +$26.61 | 47% 11734-13452 (25186) |
LI LimousinCTR | Underavg 16.9¢ | $137.11 | — | -$137.11 | 53% 1437-1278 (2715) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 3.3¢ | $22.47 | — | -$22.47 | 49% 14716-15387 (30103) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Underavg 3.1¢ | $152.62 | — | -$11.91 | 48% 61202-65997 (127199) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Overavg 92.8¢ | $9.45 | $11.26 | +$1.81 | 54% 9741-8133 (17874) |
LO lonmi2511CTR<$100 | Underavg 2.7¢ | $38 | — | +$0.11 | 55% 1362-1132 (2494) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 4.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 25773-24474 (50247) |
DV dv-pmCTR<$100 | Underavg 3.4¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 49% 3328-3529 (6857) |
PV pvc975 | Overavg 99.9¢ | $7.7K | — | +$2.4K | 98% 17922-370 (18292) |
RN1Invested
$3,152.86
Value
$3.1K
PnL
-$41.86
Record
53%
61382-53692 (115074)
Invested
$1,844
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$66.88
Record
50%
28444-28347 (56791)
Invested
$509.83
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
51%
1390-1358 (2748)
Invested
$229.84
Value
—
PnL
-$229.84
Record
52%
1386-1304 (2690)
Invested
$321.75
Value
—
PnL
-$321.75
Record
50%
1336-1316 (2652)
Invested
$281.69
Value
$244
PnL
-$45.23
Record
49%
6296-6455 (12751)
Both legs:
Invested
$189.99
Value
$232.53
PnL
+$42.55
Record
51%
37678-36903 (74581)
Invested
$173.39
Value
$200
PnL
+$26.61
Record
47%
11734-13452 (25186)
Invested
$137.11
Value
—
PnL
-$137.11
Record
53%
1437-1278 (2715)
Invested
$22.47
Value
—
PnL
-$22.47
Record
49%
14716-15387 (30103)
Invested
$152.62
Value
—
PnL
-$11.91
Record
48%
61202-65997 (127199)
Invested
$9.45
Value
$11.26
PnL
+$1.81
Record
54%
9741-8133 (17874)
Invested
$38
Value
—
PnL
+$0.11
Record
55%
1362-1132 (2494)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
25773-24474 (50247)
Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
49%
3328-3529 (6857)
Invested
$7,663.01
Value
—
PnL
+$2.4K
Record
98%
17922-370 (18292)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
Over — $3.1K
GoalLineGhost
Over — $1.9K
Venusian
CTRUnder — $0
LightParadox
CTRUnder — $0
MadridTime
CTRUnder — $0
purplegatto
ARBArbitrage — excluded
SnakeBall
Over — $232.53
topdogbigboi
Over — $200
Limousin
CTRUnder — $0
LuckyLoo
CTRUnder — $0