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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpGetrenektHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)71% (2770–1157, n=3927)100% (3–0, n=3)52% (583–536, n=1119)53% (513–456, n=969)
Consensus PnL$526K$41K$404K$592K
Tracked asPM monthly #8was PM monthly #987PM monthly #9PM monthly #54
Sides with the consensus47% (50 of 106 open)no open consensus position67% (32 of 48 open)53% (20 of 38 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=564———
Settled positions, side won42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%—100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢42% (won 5% of 495)—2% (won 100% of 5)12% (won 40% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 39% of 266)—31% (won 100% of 84)23% (won 65% of 158)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 134)—60% (won 100% of 161)44% (won 77% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 94% of 296)—7% (won 100% of 20)20% (won 99% of 135)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpGetrenektHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49—Colts $1.1KColts $3
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
——Oregon Ducks $8.2KPepperdine Waves $140K
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $12KUnder $1.5K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
——Vikings $7.9KPackers $2.4K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $174—Chiefs $8.7K—
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
——Vikings $5.9KPackers $6
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.3KUnder $1.1K
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
Ole Miss $1.6K——Oklahoma $507
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Lions $32Patriots $172
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
——Chiefs $2.5KChiefs $12K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lions
——Patriots $6.1KPatriots $6.0K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $303—Vikings $6.7K—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
——Browns $2.4KBrowns $1.2K
Panthers vs. Saints
same side · consensus Panthers
Panthers $3.1K——Panthers $223
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $629—Seahawks $1.5K—
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.4KUnder $495
Rockets vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $325Rockets $74