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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1Sausesantana
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$14.9M$20K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #27 + pinnedwas PM monthly #830
Sides with the consensus86% (37 of 43 open)75% (36 of 48 open)45% (29 of 64 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 1 at avg 80¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 57% of 2594)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 94% of 5704)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 99% of 9204)0%
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)33% (won 100% of 8622)100% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1Sausesantana
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $294KTexans $50KTexans $8.5K—
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $143KPatriots $10KPackers $489—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $103KBulls $9.8K76ers $1.0K—
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $100KTexans $41K——
Raiders vs. 49ers
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—49ers $41KRaiders $39—
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $14KUnder $7.9K——
76ers vs. Bulls
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $7.0K—76ers $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $1.7K—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0KUnder $1.0K—
Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $351Seahawks $1.3K—
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KUnder $116—
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KOver $208—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
—Texans $7Chargers $455—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $124KSeahawks $29K——
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $104K—Packers $4.0K—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $24KCoco Gauff $31K—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $10KOver $243—
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
same side · consensus Mitchell Krueger
—Samir Banerjee $5.6KSamir Banerjee $110—
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.9KChargers $31——
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Seahawks $85Seahawks $2.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $360—