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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026HBAFlover98RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)39% (243–373, n=616)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M-$250K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87was PM monthly #838PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus80% (43 of 54 open)65% (35 of 54 open)no open consensus position55% (52 of 94 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——Esports −9 pts, n=99—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%39% of 550 at avg 39¢, ROI 0%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 14% of 164)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)41% (won 42% of 227)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)21% (won 59% of 118)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)7% (won 71% of 41)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026HBAFlover98RN1
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $294KTexans $41K—Texans $5.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179KCowboys $6.5K—Cowboys $1.5K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $100KTexans $41K—Texans $1.5K
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $59KCowboys $32K—Cowboys $34K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $103KBulls $11K—76ers $969
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $101KCowboys $412—Cowboys $8.7K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24KColts $10K—Colts $8.5K
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $143KPatriots $10K——
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $104KPatriots $26K——
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $13K——No $18K
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13KUnder $12K——
Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Cowboys $5.5K—Colts $7.5K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $145—Over $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $124KSeahawks $30K——
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $15K—Under $5.5K
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Stefan Kozlov $17K—Stefan Kozlov $321
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $7.6K—Over $161
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.9KChargers $5——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Seahawks $89—Seahawks $1.2K