← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | pIebe | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 70% (730–307, n=1037) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $1.1M | $3.7M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #203 + pinned | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #98 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 80% (131 of 164 open) | 68% (267 of 391 open) | 73% (62 of 85 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 944 at avg 70¢, ROI +3% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 22% (won 6% of 204) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 47% of 55) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 6% (won 52% of 56) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 67% (won 96% of 629) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.