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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorprayvanmechelen
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)87% (2312–346, n=2658)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$30K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #21was PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensus57% (12 of 21 open)63% (255 of 408 open)66% (45 of 68 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=901, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%98% of 980 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)2% (won 95% of 21)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)32% (won 98% of 318)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)51% (won 98% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)14% (won 98% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorprayvanmechelen
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $169
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Berrettini
—Matteo Berrettini $3.9KUgo Humbert $11
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna
—Juan Manuel La Serna $1.6KHernan Casanova $2
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
opposite sides · consensus Thiago Agustin Tirante
—Jan-Lennard Struff $1.5KThiago Agustin Tirante $2
Will Al-Taawoun FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.4KNo $9
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317No $371
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Lakers $572Kings $9
Tlaxcala FC vs. Club Atletico La Paz: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $382Over $8
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $166Under $3
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
opposite sides · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $139Mika Brunold $10
Longwood Lancers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Saint Joseph's Hawks
—Saint Joseph's Hawks $17Longwood Lancers $3
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $8Under $10
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $642KNo $121K—
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.7KOver $974
Villa Maria: Federico Aguilar vs Nicolas Kicker
same side · consensus Nicolas Kicker
—Nicolas Kicker $6.3KNicolas Kicker $10
Rolex Paris Masters (Doubles): Cerundolo/Etcheverry vs Harrison/Skupski
same side · consensus Harrison/Skupski
—Harrison/Skupski $1.9KHarrison/Skupski $10
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
—Alice Tubello $1.8KAlice Tubello $10
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KOver $10
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $545Over $773
Villa Maria: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
—Joaquin Aguilar $1.1KJoaquin Aguilar $4
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $865No $10
Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sydney FC
—Sydney FC $670Sydney FC $10
Spread: Hapoel Jerusalem (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hapoel Jerusalem
—Hapoel Jerusalem $264Hapoel Jerusalem $307
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $509Over $10
Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. PSV end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $468No $10
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $325Cavaliers $9
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $202Pacers $9
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Pelicans $197Pelicans $2
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $76Over $109
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $116Under $9
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Luka Pavlovic
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
—Jerome Kym $25Jerome Kym $9
Will Barakaldo CF win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $18No $3
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $9Over $9