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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 53% (5927–5304, n=11231) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 87% (2312–346, n=2658) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $3.3M | $4.2M | $30K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #150 | was PM monthly #1000 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 61% (236 of 384 open) | 74% (35 of 47 open) | 63% (42 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 980 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 2% (won 95% of 21) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 32% (won 98% of 318) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 51% (won 98% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 14% (won 98% of 137) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $642K | No $113K | No $234K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $169 |
| Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna | — | Juan Manuel La Serna $1.0K | — | Hernan Casanova $2 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | — | No $371 |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Lakers $572 | — | Kings $9 |
| Tlaxcala FC vs. Club Atletico La Paz: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $382 | — | Over $8 |
| Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $166 | — | Under $3 |
| Longwood Lancers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks opposite sides · consensus Saint Joseph's Hawks | — | Saint Joseph's Hawks $17 | — | Longwood Lancers $3 |
| Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $8 | — | Under $10 |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.3K | — | Over $974 |
| Villa Maria: Federico Aguilar vs Nicolas Kicker same side · consensus Nicolas Kicker | — | Nicolas Kicker $6.3K | — | Nicolas Kicker $10 |
| Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet same side · consensus Laura Samson | — | Laura Samson $2.5K | — | Laura Samson $10 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert same side · consensus Ugo Humbert | — | Ugo Humbert $1.9K | — | Ugo Humbert $11 |
| Rolex Paris Masters (Doubles): Cerundolo/Etcheverry vs Harrison/Skupski same side · consensus Harrison/Skupski | — | Harrison/Skupski $1.9K | — | Harrison/Skupski $10 |
| FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | — | Over $10 |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $545 | — | Over $773 |
| Villa Maria: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Ficovich same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | — | Joaquin Aguilar $1.1K | — | Joaquin Aguilar $4 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $865 | — | No $10 |
| Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Sydney FC | — | Sydney FC $670 | — | Sydney FC $10 |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera same side · consensus Marina Bassols Ribera | — | Alice Tubello $669 | — | Alice Tubello $10 |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $509 | — | Over $10 |
| Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. PSV end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $468 | — | No $10 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $325 | — | Cavaliers $9 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Pacers $202 | — | Pacers $9 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-6.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Pelicans $197 | — | Pelicans $2 |
| KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $68 | — | Over $109 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $116 | — | Under $9 |
| Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Luka Pavlovic same side · consensus Luka Pavlovic | — | Jerome Kym $25 | — | Jerome Kym $9 |
| Will Barakaldo CF win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $18 | — | No $3 |
| KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $9 | — | Over $9 |