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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpLetsGoBirdsRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6585–6162, n=12747)50% (2–2, n=4)48% (14355–15860, n=30215)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M-$122K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13was PM monthly #469PM monthly #26 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)69% (180 of 260 open)no open consensus position60% (26 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%—94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)—10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)—22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)—35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)—33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpLetsGoBirdsRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $541—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $524
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Shaanxi Union FC vs. Guangxi Hengchen FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $17—Under $23
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu
same side · consensus Claire Liu
—Claire Liu $30K—Claire Liu $18K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $20K—No $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.6K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.3K—Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Yosuke Watanuki
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
—Yosuke Watanuki $6.5K—Yosuke Watanuki $4.8K
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.0K—Under $43
Will Ningbo Professional FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4K—No $1.2K
Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $934—No $1.4K
Will Changchun Yatai win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $853—No $1.2K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Wuxi Wugou vs. Changchun Yatai end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $636—No $1.1K
Will Nanjing City win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0K—No $376
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $104—Under $1.1K
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $505—Under $418
Will Dalian Kun City win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $277—No $495
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $187—Under $108
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $41
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5—Under $40