Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpG.HchenRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6543–6108, n=12651)68% (387–178, n=565)48% (14365–15875, n=30240)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M$72K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #611PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)71% (210 of 295 open)75% (38 of 51 open)50% (16 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Finance −27 pts, n=10—
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%70% of 547 at avg 56¢, ROI +16%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 26% of 72)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)24% (won 60% of 134)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)34% (won 81% of 187)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)28% (won 84% of 154)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpG.HchenRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $541—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $60—Over $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $524
Will Borneo Samarinda vs. PSM Makassar end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $22—No $592
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $20K—No $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.6K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $2.6K—Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
W35 Liberec: Lea Boskovic vs Weronika Ewald
same side · consensus Lea Boskovic
—Weronika Ewald $2.9K—Weronika Ewald $1.8K
Will PSM Makassar win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $1.4K
Borneo Samarinda vs. PSM Makassar: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.0K—Under $1.3K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Borneo Samarinda vs. PSM Makassar: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Under $16
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $104—Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Ciryl Gane
—Ciryl Gane $4Ciryl Gane $330—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $41
Borneo Samarinda vs. PSM Makassar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $46—Under $4