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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Danny8273 | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (61–47, n=108) | 81% (21–5, n=26) | 53% (532–472, n=1004) | 90% (18–2, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | $770K | $6.4K | $635K | $530K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #921 | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #67 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (16 of 30 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 53% (58 of 110 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 12% (won 45% of 89) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 0% | 25% (won 71% of 190) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 36% (won 78% of 9) | 45% (won 80% of 347) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 64% (won 94% of 16) | 18% (won 99% of 142) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Danny8273 | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Vikings $1.1M | — | Packers $7.1K | Vikings $8.5K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | Titans $122K | — | Jaguars $80K | Titans $109K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | Vikings $204K | — | Packers $38K | Vikings $12K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $78K | — | 49ers $62K | Cowboys $275 |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $78K | — | 76ers $3.1K | Pacers $292 |
| Panthers vs. Saints opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Panthers $1.2M | — | Saints $20 | — |
| Bills vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $122K | Jets $54K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Titans $104K | — | Jaguars $20K | — |
| Pacers vs. 76ers opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Pacers $84K | — | 76ers $2.2K | — |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Vikings $11K | — | Packers $399 | — |
| Spread: Colts (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Dolphins | Colts $272 | — | Dolphins $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Vikings (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | Vikings $496 | — | Packers $63 | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $942K | — | — | Chiefs $7.8K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $76K | — | Chiefs $19K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $75K | — | Colts $1.3K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $37K | — | — | Cowboys $5.8K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) same side · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $3.1K | — | Cowboys $383 | — |