← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Danny8273 | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (61–47, n=108) | 81% (21–5, n=26) | 55% (23–19, n=42) | 52% (591–550, n=1141) |
| Consensus PnL | $770K | $6.4K | $881K | $385K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #921 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #10 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (16 of 30 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (91 of 149 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% | 100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53% | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 2% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 0% | 61% (won 100% of 14) | 32% (won 100% of 100) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 36% (won 78% of 9) | 30% (won 100% of 7) | 60% (won 100% of 189) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 64% (won 94% of 16) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 7% (won 100% of 22) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Danny8273 | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers vs. Saints opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Panthers $1.2M | — | — | Saints $38K |
| Jaguars vs. Titans opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Titans $151K | — | — | Jaguars $35K |
| Spread: Colts (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $132K | — | — | Dolphins $6.9K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | Titans $122K | — | — | Jaguars $4.3K |
| Pacers vs. 76ers opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Pacers $84K | — | — | 76ers $36K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Titans $104K | — | — | Jaguars $11 |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $78K | — | — | 49ers $25K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $71K | — | — | Falcons $2.7K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $27K | — | — | Falcons $7.1K |
| Spread: Colts (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $6.9K | — | — | Dolphins $8 |
| Spread: Colts (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Dolphins | Colts $272 | — | — | Dolphins $6.5K |
| Spread: Vikings (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | Vikings $496 | — | — | Packers $4.9K |
| Spread: Packers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | Vikings $2.3K | — | — | Packers $464 |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $204K | — | — | Vikings $12K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $75K | — | — | Colts $2.4K |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $55K | — | — | Cowboys $843 |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $37K | — | — | Cowboys $2.3K |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $11K | — | — | Vikings $7.8K |