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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | CUTJALENHURTS | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (5441–4999, n=10440) | 65% (901–484, n=1385) | 50% (1106–1117, n=2223) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $569K | $4.4M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #80 | PM monthly #100 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (24 of 34 open) | 70% (99 of 141 open) | 70% (106 of 151 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Golf −2 pts, n=108 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 19% of 1341) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 35% (won 46% of 3607) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 35% (won 61% of 3523) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 17% (won 86% of 1699) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
23 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.