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Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
1 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold No (50%) · No at 53¢ · $7K held · ends May 30, 2027
SIGNAL
💧
Weak
No
Consensus Traders
2
No 50%
Total Value
$6.6K
Combined PnL
-$845.41
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 2 top traders (50%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes47%
No53%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$3.4K
Total Shares8,244
Combined PnL$-2.3K
Yes1 trader
Total Value$3.1K
Total Shares5,455
Combined PnL+$1.5K
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nooserac | Noavg 70¢ | $5.8K | $3.4K | $-2.3K | 52% 5182-4766 (9948) |
LE leegunnerCTR | Yesavg 29.9¢ | $1.6K | $3.1K | +$1.5K | 44% 1177-1486 (2663) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance55.2%
53.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$81.02
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
181.0
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x529658f6...89d6d4
Slug
will-porto-win-the-2026-27-primeira-liga-championship-20260701201425848