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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSferrariChampions2026ndb1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (6546–6139, n=12685)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)64% (1097–630, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$1.1M$3.1M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #117was PM monthly #87PM monthly #96
Sides with the consensus89% (31 of 35 open)72% (103 of 144 open)50% (8 of 16 open)72% (108 of 149 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—MLB −1 pts, n=747—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%54% of 10582 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 18% of 1390)—13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)36% (won 46% of 3763)—19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 61% of 3662)—23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)17% (won 86% of 1767)—44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSferrariChampions2026ndb1
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $292KNo $283—Yes $11K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409KNo $14K—No $337K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $22KNo $4.7K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $16KYes $3.0K——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13KNo $4.8K——
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14K—Yes $63
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28No $11K——
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.1K—Yes $258
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.4K—Yes $884
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4K—Yes $187
Will the Anaheim Ducks record 80+ points?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $42
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $626—Yes $420
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $373—Yes $534
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $400—Yes $365
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $65—Yes $525
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $193—Yes $383
Will the Winnipeg Jets record 90+ points?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $316—No $151
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $133—No $14
Will the season series between the Cardinals and 49ers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $50—No $96
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1—Yes $121
Will the Ottawa Senators record 100+ points?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $111—No $9
Will the Bills win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $19—Yes $27
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $770—No $82K
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $297—Yes $64K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22KYes $2.9K——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $811——
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.0KYes $8.0K——
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $345—No $3.1K
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3K—No $6
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6KYes $376——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $1.8K——
Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $669—Yes $1.1K
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $80Yes $1.6K——
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3KYes $96——
Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
—No $741—No $8
Will Tampa Bay Lightning be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $700—Yes $3
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $27Yes $463——
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $454—Yes $1
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1—Yes $454
Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
—No $17—No $408
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $47—Yes $343
Will Montreal Canadiens advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $236—No $41
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $164Yes $56——
Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $73—Yes $141
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Raiders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus No
—No $10—No $142
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
—No $26—No $5