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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Better-ManferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)71% (315–126, n=441)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$69K-$9.5M$1.4M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #633was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus94% (33 of 35 open)56% (5 of 9 open)65% (108 of 165 open)50% (23 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicElections −4 pts, n=101—NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won66% of 438 at avg 62¢, ROI +2%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 9% of 126)4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 23% of 26)26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 82% of 34)40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 97% of 252)30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBetter-ManferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $12KOver $1.8K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $1.5KHornets $169Cavaliers $708
Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Filip Jeff Planinsek
opposite sides · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
——Andres Martin $902Filip Jeff Planinsek $7.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain
opposite sides · consensus Lucas Poullain
——Lucas Poullain $435Calvin Hemery $5.2K
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
——Tom Gentzsch $3.0KMax Houkes $1.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $872Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $146Yes $2.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Lima: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Santiago De la Fuente
opposite sides · consensus Santiago De la Fuente
——Carlos Sanchez Jover $356Santiago De la Fuente $2.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $446Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $873Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $491No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
——Tomas Etcheverry $326Max Dahlin $495
Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut
opposite sides · consensus Luka Mikrut
——Luka Mikrut $637Sandro Kopp $6
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Hawks $183Lakers $210
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $256No $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.4K
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.8KOver $88—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $95Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $721Under $20
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $166Lakers $461
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $197Lakers $248
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $155Lakers $282
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Cavaliers $170Cavaliers $111
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Raptors $162Raptors $116
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $203Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $51Over $29